Credit Risk Transfer News

Showing posts with label Synthetic SRT. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Synthetic SRT. Show all posts

9/26/2019

FLT Risk Structure Capital and Use Cases

 

First-Loss Tranche in Banking

Executive Summary

A first-loss tranche (FLT)—often called the equity or junior tranche—is the layer in a securitization or risk-transfer structure that absorbs losses first until it is fully written down. Because it is the earliest line of defense for senior investors, it carries the highest expected loss and required return, plays a pivotal role in credit enhancement, and is central to significant risk transfer (SRT) transactions and risk retention regimes. This article explains what a first-loss tranche is, how it is structured and priced, how regulators treat it, and the strategic reasons banks use or transfer it.


1) What Is a First-Loss Tranche?

  • Definition: The tranche that takes initial credit losses on a reference pool (mortgages, SME loans, consumer loans, trade finance, etc.) before any losses are allocated to mezzanine or senior tranches.

  • Aliases: Equity, junior, first-loss piece (FLP); in synthetics, sometimes first-loss credit protection or first-to-default layer.

  • Function: Provides credit enhancement to mezzanine/senior notes; shapes the deal’s overall risk/return and determines rating headroom for higher tranches.

  • Form:

    • True-sale securitization: FLT is typically unrated/sub-investment grade equity notes or a residual interest.

    • Synthetic SRT: FLT may be transferred to investors via credit default swaps (CDS) or financial guarantees, or retained to comply with risk-retention.


2) Where Does It Sit in the Capital Structure?

Typical waterfall (losses flow up this list):

  1. First-Loss / Equity (absorbs losses first; often unrated)

  2. Mezzanine (sub-IG to low IG)

  3. Senior (high IG)

  4. Super-Senior (if present; very low risk)

Key design choice: the attachment point (AP) and detachment point (DP) define tranche thickness. Example: a 0–3% FLT absorbs the first 3% of pool losses.


3) Why FLTs Exist: Economics & Strategy

  • Credit enhancement: By absorbing the tail of expected losses, FLTs allow higher ratings/lower spreads on senior notes.

  • Capital relief / SRT: Transferring FLT (and often mezz) can achieve significant risk transfer, reducing RWA on the underlying pool.

  • Skin-in-the-game: Regulations often require originators to retain a 5% economic interest (e.g., first-loss vertical/horizontal retention).

  • Alpha for specialized investors: FLTs can offer double-digit IRRs to buyers with expertise, diversification, and strong analytics.


4) Pricing, Returns, and Risks

  • Expected loss (EL): Highest among all tranches; priced into the equity yield.

  • Risk drivers: Pool credit quality, correlation, seasoning, macro cycle, servicing quality, and structural features (excess spread, OC, triggers).

  • Return profile: “Equity-like” with potential for high cash-on-cash if realized losses stay below modeled levels; high downside in stress scenarios.

  • Liquidity: Generally illiquid and buy-and-hold; valuation depends on bespoke models and scenario analysis.


5) Structural Mechanics That Matter for FLTs

  • Triggers:

    • OC/IC tests (over-collateralization/interest coverage) can switch cash flows to turbo-amortize senior tranches, starving equity of cash if performance deteriorates.

    • Performance triggers may accelerate amortization or trap excess spread.

  • Excess spread: Serves as a soft first loss before principal is hit; crucial to equity economics.

  • Replenishment periods: During revolving deals, equity is exposed to portfolio migration risk.

  • Clean-up calls: Affect duration and equity IRR.

  • Hedging: Limited; basis risk often remains with equity.


6) Regulatory Capital Treatment (Basel context)

  • Basel II/III securitization framework: FL positions typically receive 1250% risk weight (or deduction from capital) if not eligible for preferential treatment—reflecting very high risk.

  • Basel III Finalization (“Basel IV”): Refines standardized and IRB approaches, reduces model variability, imposes output floors, and keeps very conservative treatment for first-loss/retained equity.

  • SRT (Significant Risk Transfer): To get capital relief, originators must show true transfer of first and/or mezzanine risk, meet structural and due-diligence tests, and comply with risk retention.

  • Risk Retention (EU/US): Typically 5% via vertical slice, L-shape, or first-loss (horizontal) retention; equity often used to satisfy this.

(Note: exact jurisdictional formulas differ; the theme is consistent—first-loss is penalized most heavily in capital terms.)


7) Use Cases in Practice

  • Mortgage, consumer, SME, corporate, trade, project finance pools.

  • Synthetic balance-sheet SRT by banks to manage RWAs and free up lending capacity.

  • Specialist funds/insurers buying FLT exposure for yield and diversification.

  • NPL/Stage 3 strategies where FLTs absorb workout risk with upside from recoveries.


8) Due Diligence Checklist for FLTs

  • Collateral tape quality (granularity, LTVs, industry mix, geography).

  • Vintage/seasoning and underwriting standards.

  • Servicer track record and special servicing terms.

  • Structural protections: triggers, reserve accounts, excess spread dynamics, amortization mechanics.

  • Model governance: PD/LGD/correlation, macro scenarios, prepayment, recovery lags.

  • Alignment: Originator’s retained interest, reps & warranties, indemnities.


9) Common Pitfalls

  • Over-reliance on benign macro assumptions (house prices, unemployment).

  • Thin first-loss layers that vanish quickly under mild stress.

  • Opaque replenishment criteria leading to adverse selection.

  • Trigger design that shuts off equity cash flows too early (or too late).

  • Operational risk (servicing slippage) not fully captured in models.


10) FLT in Synthetic SRT vs. True-Sale Deals

  • True-sale: Equity notes funded at closing; waterfall determines distributions; investor controls can be limited.

  • Synthetic SRT: First-loss risk transferred via protection; unfunded or partially funded; capital relief depends on protection eligibility, counterparties, collateral, documentation.

  • Accounting: P&L and capital impacts differ; hedge accounting rarely applies; careful with significant risk and rewards tests.


11) Governance, ESG, and Disclosure

  • ESG overlays (e.g., green RMBS/ABS) can influence pool selection and investor appetite but do not change the first-loss economic logic.

  • Transparency: Investor reporting packs (loan-level data, triggers, servicer reports) are crucial—especially for equity holders.


12) Timetable: Key Milestones Shaping First-Loss Tranches

Use these anchor points to structure your “history & regulation” section or a timeline graphic.

  • 1988 — Basel I: Birth of risk-weighted capital; early modern securitization era.

  • 2004 — Basel II: Formal securitization framework with tranche-sensitive capital; harsh treatment for first-loss positions.

  • 2007–2009 — Global Financial Crisis: FLTs experience severe impairments; reforms begin.

  • 2009–2011 — Basel 2.5 / early Basel III: Tighter capital for trading/securitization.

  • 2010 — Basel III announced: Raises quality/quantity of capital; entrenches conservative treatment of junior tranches.

  • 2014 (US): Risk retention rules finalized; 5% “skin-in-the-game” (horizontal/vertical/L-shape).

  • Jan 2019 (EU): Securitisation Regulation (EU) 2017/2402 and CRR/CRD changes in force; 5% retention, due diligence; STS label live.

  • 2016–2019: STS/ STC principles (simple, transparent, standardised/ comparable) promote safer structures; equity remains most penalized.

  • 2021 (EU): STS extended to on-balance-sheet synthetic SRT (Reg. (EU) 2021/557), clarifying pathways to transfer first-loss risk synthetically.

  • 2023–2028 — Basel III Finalization (“Basel IV”) phase-in: Output floor (72.5%) and standardized revisions reduce RWA variability; first-loss capital remains highest.

(Years are the useful anchors most blogs use; you can version this timeline into a vertical infographic.)


13) Practical Design Tips for a “Good” FLT

  • Thickness: Set equity width to comfortably cover modeled EL + several stress multiples, allowing mezz/senior to achieve target ratings.

  • Triggers: Use clear, early-warning tests to preserve seniority but avoid unnecessarily starving equity (balance IC/OC).

  • Excess spread & reserves: Calibrate to absorb drift in arrears/charge-offs; consider step-ups if performance lags.

  • Amortization: Favor sequential in stress; allow pro-rata once performance stabilizes to enhance equity IRR.

  • Reporting: Monthly, with loan-level data; define workout timelines and collateral strategies.


14) Who Should (and Shouldn’t) Buy FLTs

  • Suitable for: Specialist credit funds, insurers with mandate flexibility, family offices with tolerance for tail risk and modeling depth.

  • Not ideal for: Investors needing mark-to-market liquidity, tight drawdown limits, or plain-vanilla fixed income.


15) FAQ (Quick Hits)

  • Is FLT always unrated? Most often yes; sometimes privately rated or scored.

  • Does retaining FLT always achieve SRT? No. You typically transfer FLT/mezz to achieve SRT; retaining may be required for risk retention, but SRT depends on the net risk you offload.

  • Why are FLTs capital-intensive? Because they are most exposed to default and severity risk; Basel assigns very high risk weights or deductions.

  • Can excess spread replace equity? It helps but is volatile; regulators don’t treat it as capital.

1/26/2019

SRT Complete Guide Mechanics and Key Dates

 

Significant Risk Transfer SRT

Introduction — what is SRT and why it matters

Significant Risk Transfer (SRT) describes transactions where a bank transfers enough credit risk from its balance sheet to third parties (investors, insurers, or market counterparties) that regulators accept the transfer as reducing the bank’s regulatory capital requirements. SRT sits at the intersection of risk management, capital optimisation and regulatory compliance: it enables banks to free up capital, manage tail risk and reallocate balance-sheet capacity — but only when the transfer is demonstrably genuine and meets strict regulatory and accounting tests.

SRT is widely used in securitisation (true-sale and synthetic), portfolio sales, collateralised protection (tranched credit default swaps, funded or unfunded protection), and insurance wraps. Because capital relief is the main motivation for many SRTs, the structure must satisfy both economic and legal requirements; regulators will scrutinise legal isolation, loss allocation mechanics, and any features that could allow the originator to retain hidden exposure.


Core definitions (short)

  • SRT (Significant Risk Transfer): A transaction where sufficient credit risk is transferred away from the originator such that a regulator permits capital relief.

  • True-sale securitisation: Assets are sold into an SPV; the SPV issues notes (equity/mezzanine/senior). If the sale is genuine, the originator can reduce RWAs.

  • Synthetic SRT (synthetic securitisation): The asset stays on the originator’s balance sheet but credit risk is transferred via derivatives (CDS), guarantees or portfolio protection.

  • First-loss tranche: The equity/junior piece that absorbs initial losses; transferring first-loss exposure is often necessary to qualify for SRT.


Why banks use SRT

  • Capital relief / RWA reduction: Lower regulatory capital requirements free capital for lending or other business lines.

  • Risk management: Shift tail risk to investors with appetite for higher return/higher loss exposure.

  • Balance-sheet optimization: Manage concentration, sector exposure, or cyclical credit risk.

  • Regulatory & accounting outcomes: If structured correctly, SRT can improve reported CET1 and Tier 1 ratios.


Typical SRT structures — how they transfer risk

  1. True-sale securitisations (cash securitisations)

    • Bank sells a pool of loans to an SPV that issues tranches to investors. Losses flow first to the equity tranche, then mezzanine, then senior. If investors buy enough of the risky tranches, regulators may grant SRT.

  2. Synthetic securitisations / credit-linked note (CLN) or CDS structures

    • Originator buys protection on a portfolio (or sells risk via a credit default swap). Protection can be funded (investor posts collateral or funds a reserve) or unfunded (swap counterparty pays on default). A clean legal transfer, strong collateral mechanics and eligible protection providers are needed for SRT.

  3. Portfolio sales or loan sales

    • Selling loans outright (true sale) transfers risk completely and usually yields straightforward capital relief if legal isolation is clear.

  4. Guarantees and insurance wraps

    • A third-party guarantee can transfer risk; regulatory acceptance depends on the credit quality and enforceability of the guarantor.

  5. Tranched protection

    • Investors buy mezzanine or first-loss pieces (or provide credit enhancement). Selling a sufficiently large portion of loss-bearing tranches is often necessary to demonstrate SRT.


Regulatory tests and the “what regulators look for”

Regulators (ECB, national supervisors, Fed, PRA, etc.) generally require evidence of a genuine risk transfer. Tests and evidence typically include:

  1. Legal isolation / true sale (if applicable)

    • For a true sale, the assets must be legally isolated from the originator so creditors cannot claim them in insolvency.

  2. Economic risk transfer

    • Quantitative tests: statistical/probabilistic analysis showing a meaningful reduction in the originator’s expected and unexpected loss (historical and stressed scenarios).

    • Qualitative tests: whether economic incentives, cash flow waterfalls, and triggers actually allocate losses to third parties.

  3. Loss absorption by third parties

    • The size and position of the tranches sold to investors — often regulators expect at least the first-loss and/or mezzanine risk to be transferred to obtain meaningful capital relief.

  4. No hidden recourse / no embedded structures that undermine transfer

    • No side agreements, liquidity backstops or automatic repurchase obligations that effectively return risk to the originator.

  5. Operational separation and servicer independence

    • Servicing arrangements must not provide a backdoor to retain economic exposure.

  6. Documentation & enforceability

    • Clean, proven legal opinions, robust ISDA/credit documentation if synthetic, and clear events of default and payment mechanics.

  7. Counterparty eligibility (synthetic deals)

    • Protection providers must be creditworthy and, depending on the regime, eligible under rules (sometimes sovereigns, SSAs or regulated insurers are treated differently).

  8. Regulatory disclosure & reporting

    • Full disclosure to supervisors and public reporting when required; documentation must support capital calculations.

Regulators may run their own “what-if” stress tests on the deal to ensure residual exposures are not materially underestimated.


Capital treatment and Basel context

  • Before SRT is accepted: exposures remain on the originator’s balance sheet for RWA calculations.

  • Once SRT is accepted: RWAs can be reduced — either by removing the exposure in full (true sale) or by recognising the protection (synthetic), depending on the regulatory framework and eligible mitigation rules.

  • Basel III / Basel IV implication: While SRT remains possible, the Basel III finalisation (Basel IV) package (and the output floor) reduces the maximum capital benefit that can be claimed from internal models. The output floor ensures RWAs calculated using internal models cannot be less than a fixed percentage (72.5%) of standardized approach RWAs — limiting model-based capital relief from SRT structures that rely heavily on internal modelling.


Accounting & recognition (overview)

  • True sale: If legal sale and derecognition criteria are met under IFRS/US GAAP, the assets are removed from the balance sheet and gains/losses recorded per accounting rules. This simplifies capital relief treatment.

  • Synthetic: Protection may be accounted for as a derivative or insurance contract depending on structure and accounting standard. Hedge accounting rarely applies cleanly; proper accounting advice and advance opinion are critical.

  • Economic vs accounting transfer: A transaction might provide economic transfer (cashflow risk moved) without meeting derecognition; regulatory capital and accounting outcomes can therefore differ — you may get partial relief under regulatory rules while accounting still keeps the asset on balance sheet (or vice versa).


Pricing and investor perspective

  • Equity / first-loss: Highest expected loss; priced for high return, illiquidity premium and data/structural risk.

  • Mezzanine: Mid risk/reward; often targeted by specialised credit funds or insurers.

  • Senior: Lower spread; can attract bank treasuries or long-term investors if rated.

  • Investor due diligence: Investors require loan-level data, servicing history, stress scenarios and strong covenants.

  • Liquidity & mark-to-market: FL pieces are often illiquid; investors price for limited exit options.


Common SRT documentation & structural features

  • Purchase/transfer agreement (true sale) or protection documentation (ISDA, CLN notes)

  • Trust / SPV documentation and servicing agreements

  • Priority of payments / waterfall clearly defining how losses flow

  • Triggers (OC/IC tests, early amortisation, interest diversion) — practical but mustn’t mask residual risk

  • Replenishment rules (for revolving pools) — how and when new assets enter the pool and how equity is protected

  • Clean-up calls — must be limited so they don’t undermine transfer


Practical due diligence checklist (for originators / investors)

  • Loan-level tape quality, LTVs, seasoning, vintage analysis

  • Historical default/recovery dynamics and forward stress scenarios

  • Servicer metrics, operational KPIs, backup servicing rights

  • Legal opinions on transfer or enforceability across jurisdictions

  • Accounting and regulatory treatment opinions (pre-submission to supervisor)

  • Cash flow model sensitivity: PD, LGD, correlation, prepayment assumptions

  • Exit options and liquidity assumptions for investors


Risks and pitfalls

  • Regulatory pushback / no capital relief: If supervisors deem transfer insufficient, originator may be left with residual capital charges and unexpected profitability impacts.

  • Model risk: Over-optimistic PD/LGD/portfolio correlation assumptions inflate perceived transfer.

  • Reputational / legal risk: Poor disclosure or disputes can lead to litigation.

  • Concentration of risk: Moving credit risk to a few investors or insurers can create systemic vulnerabilities.

  • Accounting mismatches: Different regulatory and accounting treatments can produce earnings volatility.


Market participants and roles

  • Originators (banks) create deals and seek capital relief.

  • Investors: specialist credit funds, insurers, pension funds, hedge funds, bank balance-sheets.

  • Protection sellers: could be funds, reinsurers, other banks, or capital markets investors.

  • Advisors & arrangers: structuring banks, legal, rating agencies (when used), accountants.

  • Supervisors: national/regional regulators judge capital treatment and SRT eligibility.


Use cases & examples (typical)

  • RMBS / residential mortgage pools where banks sell junior tranches to reduce mortgage RWA.

  • SME loan portfolio synthetic SRT to transfer SME credit risk without selling loans outright.

  • Trade/commodity finance pools structured for investor appetite in short-dated assets.

  • Clean-up of troubled portfolios where originator sells to specialist workout funds (true sale).


Timeline — significant dates that shaped modern SRT

  • 1988 — Basel I: Risk-weighted framework begins; foundation for later capital calculations.

  • 2004 — Basel II: Introduced more risk sensitivity and securitisation frameworks; internal models gained prominence.

  • 2007–2009 — Global Financial Crisis: Highlighted weaknesses in model reliance and opaque structured products; regulators became much stricter on capital relief claims.

  • 2010 — Basel III announced: Stronger capital quality, buffers and new constraints on capital treatment. This raised the bar for SRT justification.

  • 2013 onwards — Basel III phasing: Banks began seriously reworking balance sheets; SRT regained traction as a capital management tool.

  • 2014 — US Risk Retention rules (Dodd-Frank follow-up): Regulators required originators to retain “skin-in-the-game” (commonly 5%) for many securitisations; shifted market incentives.

  • December 2017 — Basel III finalisation (“Basel IV”): Final package published — later limited excessive RWA divergence and influenced SRT design.

  • January 2019 — EU Securitisation Regulation / STS go-live: The EU introduced STS (Simple, Transparent, Standardised) securitisations and clarified risk retention and SRT tests; this was a major practical milestone for SRT in Europe.

  • 2021 — EU clarifications and synthetic SRT extensions: Subsequent EU rules and guidance expanded/completed frameworks to include certain synthetic transactions and clarified due diligence expectations.

  • 2023–2028 — Basel IV implementation phase: The output floor and stricter standardized approaches constrain the maximum capital relief available from model-dependent SRTs; fully phased implementation expected through 2028.


How supervisors typically want to see SRT validated

  • Pre-deal engagement: Early dialogue with the supervisor increases the chance of acceptance: submit documentation, models and legal opinions in advance.

  • Transparent stress testing: Show originator and supervisor impact under severe but plausible stress.

  • Third-party validation: Legal opinions, model validation, and audit trails carry weight.

  • Post-transaction monitoring: Regular reporting and clear triggers for regulatory re-evaluation.


Measuring “significance” — common regulatory approaches

Different supervisors use different quantitative thresholds and qualitative assessments. Typical indicators include:

  • Expected Loss (EL) / Unexpected Loss (UL) change: Demonstrable and material reduction in both metrics.

  • Attachment/detachment points and tranche sizes: How much of first-loss/mezzanine was transferred.

  • Stress scenario outcomes: Losses under stress shift materially to third parties.

  • Comparative RWA tests: Show that RWA reduction is proportional and defensible.


Practical structuring tips if you want SRT to be accepted

  1. Transfer genuine first-loss exposure (or at least mezzanine) — regulators are sceptical of deals that only sell senior risk.

  2. Avoid backstops or liquidity lines that could effectively return risk to originator.

  3. Limit clean-up calls and structure them so they cannot be exercised to avoid loss transfer outcomes.

  4. Use credible protection sellers or investors with capital and balance-sheet capacity.

  5. Provide rich loan-level data and model governance documentation.

  6. Engage supervisors early and present both legal and quantitative validation pre-deal.


Conclusion

SRT is a powerful tool for banks to manage capital and redistribute credit risk — but it is also one of the most highly-scrutinised activities in modern banking. Successful SRTs combine robust legal isolation, credible transfer of loss absorption to third parties, transparent documentation, conservative modelling, and pre-deal supervisory engagement. The regulatory environment after the global financial crisis and the Basel III/IV updates has made genuine SRTs feasible but more demanding. If your objective is capital relief, design first for regulatory acceptability, then for investor economics.

FLT Risk Structure Capital and Use Cases

  First-Loss Tranche in Banking Executive Summary A first-loss tranche (FLT) —often called the equity or junior tranche—is the layer in ...