Credit Risk Transfer News

Showing posts with label Transferring FLT. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Transferring FLT. Show all posts

9/26/2019

FLT Risk Structure Capital and Use Cases

 

First-Loss Tranche in Banking

Executive Summary

A first-loss tranche (FLT)—often called the equity or junior tranche—is the layer in a securitization or risk-transfer structure that absorbs losses first until it is fully written down. Because it is the earliest line of defense for senior investors, it carries the highest expected loss and required return, plays a pivotal role in credit enhancement, and is central to significant risk transfer (SRT) transactions and risk retention regimes. This article explains what a first-loss tranche is, how it is structured and priced, how regulators treat it, and the strategic reasons banks use or transfer it.


1) What Is a First-Loss Tranche?

  • Definition: The tranche that takes initial credit losses on a reference pool (mortgages, SME loans, consumer loans, trade finance, etc.) before any losses are allocated to mezzanine or senior tranches.

  • Aliases: Equity, junior, first-loss piece (FLP); in synthetics, sometimes first-loss credit protection or first-to-default layer.

  • Function: Provides credit enhancement to mezzanine/senior notes; shapes the deal’s overall risk/return and determines rating headroom for higher tranches.

  • Form:

    • True-sale securitization: FLT is typically unrated/sub-investment grade equity notes or a residual interest.

    • Synthetic SRT: FLT may be transferred to investors via credit default swaps (CDS) or financial guarantees, or retained to comply with risk-retention.


2) Where Does It Sit in the Capital Structure?

Typical waterfall (losses flow up this list):

  1. First-Loss / Equity (absorbs losses first; often unrated)

  2. Mezzanine (sub-IG to low IG)

  3. Senior (high IG)

  4. Super-Senior (if present; very low risk)

Key design choice: the attachment point (AP) and detachment point (DP) define tranche thickness. Example: a 0–3% FLT absorbs the first 3% of pool losses.


3) Why FLTs Exist: Economics & Strategy

  • Credit enhancement: By absorbing the tail of expected losses, FLTs allow higher ratings/lower spreads on senior notes.

  • Capital relief / SRT: Transferring FLT (and often mezz) can achieve significant risk transfer, reducing RWA on the underlying pool.

  • Skin-in-the-game: Regulations often require originators to retain a 5% economic interest (e.g., first-loss vertical/horizontal retention).

  • Alpha for specialized investors: FLTs can offer double-digit IRRs to buyers with expertise, diversification, and strong analytics.


4) Pricing, Returns, and Risks

  • Expected loss (EL): Highest among all tranches; priced into the equity yield.

  • Risk drivers: Pool credit quality, correlation, seasoning, macro cycle, servicing quality, and structural features (excess spread, OC, triggers).

  • Return profile: “Equity-like” with potential for high cash-on-cash if realized losses stay below modeled levels; high downside in stress scenarios.

  • Liquidity: Generally illiquid and buy-and-hold; valuation depends on bespoke models and scenario analysis.


5) Structural Mechanics That Matter for FLTs

  • Triggers:

    • OC/IC tests (over-collateralization/interest coverage) can switch cash flows to turbo-amortize senior tranches, starving equity of cash if performance deteriorates.

    • Performance triggers may accelerate amortization or trap excess spread.

  • Excess spread: Serves as a soft first loss before principal is hit; crucial to equity economics.

  • Replenishment periods: During revolving deals, equity is exposed to portfolio migration risk.

  • Clean-up calls: Affect duration and equity IRR.

  • Hedging: Limited; basis risk often remains with equity.


6) Regulatory Capital Treatment (Basel context)

  • Basel II/III securitization framework: FL positions typically receive 1250% risk weight (or deduction from capital) if not eligible for preferential treatment—reflecting very high risk.

  • Basel III Finalization (“Basel IV”): Refines standardized and IRB approaches, reduces model variability, imposes output floors, and keeps very conservative treatment for first-loss/retained equity.

  • SRT (Significant Risk Transfer): To get capital relief, originators must show true transfer of first and/or mezzanine risk, meet structural and due-diligence tests, and comply with risk retention.

  • Risk Retention (EU/US): Typically 5% via vertical slice, L-shape, or first-loss (horizontal) retention; equity often used to satisfy this.

(Note: exact jurisdictional formulas differ; the theme is consistent—first-loss is penalized most heavily in capital terms.)


7) Use Cases in Practice

  • Mortgage, consumer, SME, corporate, trade, project finance pools.

  • Synthetic balance-sheet SRT by banks to manage RWAs and free up lending capacity.

  • Specialist funds/insurers buying FLT exposure for yield and diversification.

  • NPL/Stage 3 strategies where FLTs absorb workout risk with upside from recoveries.


8) Due Diligence Checklist for FLTs

  • Collateral tape quality (granularity, LTVs, industry mix, geography).

  • Vintage/seasoning and underwriting standards.

  • Servicer track record and special servicing terms.

  • Structural protections: triggers, reserve accounts, excess spread dynamics, amortization mechanics.

  • Model governance: PD/LGD/correlation, macro scenarios, prepayment, recovery lags.

  • Alignment: Originator’s retained interest, reps & warranties, indemnities.


9) Common Pitfalls

  • Over-reliance on benign macro assumptions (house prices, unemployment).

  • Thin first-loss layers that vanish quickly under mild stress.

  • Opaque replenishment criteria leading to adverse selection.

  • Trigger design that shuts off equity cash flows too early (or too late).

  • Operational risk (servicing slippage) not fully captured in models.


10) FLT in Synthetic SRT vs. True-Sale Deals

  • True-sale: Equity notes funded at closing; waterfall determines distributions; investor controls can be limited.

  • Synthetic SRT: First-loss risk transferred via protection; unfunded or partially funded; capital relief depends on protection eligibility, counterparties, collateral, documentation.

  • Accounting: P&L and capital impacts differ; hedge accounting rarely applies; careful with significant risk and rewards tests.


11) Governance, ESG, and Disclosure

  • ESG overlays (e.g., green RMBS/ABS) can influence pool selection and investor appetite but do not change the first-loss economic logic.

  • Transparency: Investor reporting packs (loan-level data, triggers, servicer reports) are crucial—especially for equity holders.


12) Timetable: Key Milestones Shaping First-Loss Tranches

Use these anchor points to structure your “history & regulation” section or a timeline graphic.

  • 1988 — Basel I: Birth of risk-weighted capital; early modern securitization era.

  • 2004 — Basel II: Formal securitization framework with tranche-sensitive capital; harsh treatment for first-loss positions.

  • 2007–2009 — Global Financial Crisis: FLTs experience severe impairments; reforms begin.

  • 2009–2011 — Basel 2.5 / early Basel III: Tighter capital for trading/securitization.

  • 2010 — Basel III announced: Raises quality/quantity of capital; entrenches conservative treatment of junior tranches.

  • 2014 (US): Risk retention rules finalized; 5% “skin-in-the-game” (horizontal/vertical/L-shape).

  • Jan 2019 (EU): Securitisation Regulation (EU) 2017/2402 and CRR/CRD changes in force; 5% retention, due diligence; STS label live.

  • 2016–2019: STS/ STC principles (simple, transparent, standardised/ comparable) promote safer structures; equity remains most penalized.

  • 2021 (EU): STS extended to on-balance-sheet synthetic SRT (Reg. (EU) 2021/557), clarifying pathways to transfer first-loss risk synthetically.

  • 2023–2028 — Basel III Finalization (“Basel IV”) phase-in: Output floor (72.5%) and standardized revisions reduce RWA variability; first-loss capital remains highest.

(Years are the useful anchors most blogs use; you can version this timeline into a vertical infographic.)


13) Practical Design Tips for a “Good” FLT

  • Thickness: Set equity width to comfortably cover modeled EL + several stress multiples, allowing mezz/senior to achieve target ratings.

  • Triggers: Use clear, early-warning tests to preserve seniority but avoid unnecessarily starving equity (balance IC/OC).

  • Excess spread & reserves: Calibrate to absorb drift in arrears/charge-offs; consider step-ups if performance lags.

  • Amortization: Favor sequential in stress; allow pro-rata once performance stabilizes to enhance equity IRR.

  • Reporting: Monthly, with loan-level data; define workout timelines and collateral strategies.


14) Who Should (and Shouldn’t) Buy FLTs

  • Suitable for: Specialist credit funds, insurers with mandate flexibility, family offices with tolerance for tail risk and modeling depth.

  • Not ideal for: Investors needing mark-to-market liquidity, tight drawdown limits, or plain-vanilla fixed income.


15) FAQ (Quick Hits)

  • Is FLT always unrated? Most often yes; sometimes privately rated or scored.

  • Does retaining FLT always achieve SRT? No. You typically transfer FLT/mezz to achieve SRT; retaining may be required for risk retention, but SRT depends on the net risk you offload.

  • Why are FLTs capital-intensive? Because they are most exposed to default and severity risk; Basel assigns very high risk weights or deductions.

  • Can excess spread replace equity? It helps but is volatile; regulators don’t treat it as capital.

FLT Risk Structure Capital and Use Cases

  First-Loss Tranche in Banking Executive Summary A first-loss tranche (FLT) —often called the equity or junior tranche—is the layer in ...